If you were to base your view of the US election solely on pro-Kremlin newspapers and state TV, you might easily conclude that the election is rigged, that the result almost certainly will be contested and that America faces a prolonged period of post-election chaos.
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-10-31/why-bettors-take-a-flier-on-trump
There are good reasons to ignore each of these predictions. Big-data analysis is a young discipline, and the methods are still relatively untested. All the models based on economic performance and the previous administration’s performance could be unreliable in this year’s race because it is so intensely personalized and scandal-ridden. Besides, these models do not boast perfect historical accuracy.
