The 2012 presidential election went exactly as predicted by the leading quantitative analysts.
"...it is inevitable that media coverage of politics will eventually follow the
path taken by sportswriting, and that traditional pundits will be left out in
the cold—just as there are ever-fewer members of the old guard, like the
recently retired Joe
Morgan, in baseball broadcast booths. After all, the campaigns have already
been using advanced statistics for
years. But it’s up to individual news outlets to determine the speed of
progress. I hope to see many more references to weighted poll averages,
quantitative win probabilities and betting-market odds in the pages of The
Economist in the years to come."
